Tag Archives: predictions

Well it’s once again time for Oscar (not the Grouch) to make an appearance and there are some interesting films up for consideration. As I did with the Golden Globes, I will attempt to accurately predict all of these outcomes. I think I scored about a 70% on my Golden Globe predictions. Let’s see I can keep this ship afloat any better.

(EDIT: Jerry Lewis wins the Humanitarian Award. Couldn’t have gone to a better person. Glad to see some geniuses of classic cinema still remain amongst us.)

1. Actor in a Leading Role–Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)

(EDIT: And the Oscar goes to…Sean Penn. I’m no enemy of Sean Penn. His talent supercedes his character. I didn’t see MILK, but I probably will eventually. I enjoyed The Wrestler so much that I think I give it more credit than it apparently deserves. Rourke won a Golden Globe though, so that’s fine.

In addition: I would have much rather seen Mickey Rourke spit psychotic babble at the podium than Sean Penn make a monotonous political speech. Sean Penn did give Rourke a shout out, so my heart is now warmed.)

2. Actor in a Supporting Role–Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)

(EDIT: Alan Arkin proves he is out of touch by referring to Philip Seymour Hoffman as “Seymour Philip Hoffman.” Well, this one was pretty fucking easy to call. Why should the academy deny a decent actor a full-fledged standing ovation? I think the award went to the right person in this case…however, I would probably go as far to say that if Heath Ledger were alive, he probably wouldn’t have won.)

3. Actress in a Leading Role–Kate Winslet (The Reader)

(EDIT: She forgot to thank Ricky Gervais. He told her that she could win Awards for doing a Holocaust Movie. There are some actresses who lose something through the “magic” of HD TV. Kate Winslet is one of them. Still, no complaints. She beats the cunt off of Julia Roberts.)

4. Actress in a Supporting Role–Penelope Cruz (Vicky Christina…)

(EDIT: First Oscar of the night is a RIGHT answer for me! Should’ve been Marisa Tomei though…This award show is going to be drawn out ad nausem.)

5. Animated Feature Film–Wall-E

(EDIT: RIGHT AGAIN!! This is starting to become less and less interesting…I still haven’t seen Wall-Ebut maybe some day. Actually, I think a Blu-Ray copy of it is sitting somewhere on my shelf.)

6. Art Direction–The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

(EDIT: And now we’re back on track. At least it gives me a reason to give two shits about the less interestingawards. That being said, the less interesting awards are arguably the most important. Good job, guys. There’d be no movie without you!)

7. Cinematography–Slumdog Millionaire

(EDIT: Right again btw…but let me get off topic for a moment…As awesome and intense a movie as The Dark Knight was…I honestly believe that the onlyreason it exists at the Academy Awards is because they want to give as many post-humous awards to Heath Ledger as possible. If he wins Best Supporting Actor, my case will be made.)

8. Costume Design–The Dutchess

(EDIT: Could this award be any more obvious? I was a bit worried about Benjamin Button, but all the other nominees had suits and dresses as costumes…If MILKwon best costume design, I’m sure there’d be a massive wrist-slitting from the Fashion Design community.)

9. Directing–Slumdog Millionaire

(EDIT: OMG! Waaay out of left field!! Who would have thought that it would be…oh…Slumdog Millionaire.)

10. Documentary Feature–Trouble the Water

(EDIT: Man on a Wire was the winner. Can’t be right all the time, I guess…although I think I have earned my stripes thus far. Hard to call, this one. Personally, I would’ve loved to see Religulous win. Wasn’t nominated.)

11. Documentary Short–The Final Inch

(EDIT: Wrong answer…but…then again, there was no justification for my random stumbling guess. Oh, the winning short film was Smile Pinki. Yeah. That’s what I thought.)

12. Film Editing–Frost/Nixon

(EDIT: Slumdog Millionaire again?! How fucking good is this movie??! I need to see this. I think my pick of Frost/Nixon was probably the worst call I could’ve possibly made, but I really didn’t think Slumdog Millionaire would take practically every minor category. *sigh* Oh well.)

13. Foreign Language Film–Waltz with Bashir

(EDIT: Hmm…The Golden Globes were not consistant this time. I was Wrong with Bashir.)

14. Makeup–The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

(EDIT: There’s another RIGHT answer. I was concerned about Hellboy II, but you can’t really give an award to a film that had absolutely zero significance to any one or any thing.)

15. Music (Score)–Slumdog Millionaire

(EDIT: Well that was pretty clear. Golden Globes II: The Revenge of Slumdog Millionaire.)

16. Music (Song)–“O Saya” (Slumdog Millionaire)

(EDIT: Well, I guess M.I.A. didn’t have the clout to win this award. So, Slumdog Millionaire was actually BEATEN by…wait for it…Slumdog Millionaire. Yeah. That’s right. The other Slumdog Millionaire song won. Amazing…)

17. Best Picture–Slumdog Millionaire

(EDIT: Though this list is not in order, this was obviously the last award given. And…there it is. Weird how none of the actualy ACTORS were nominated for anything. I guess the movie could stand up to the “big boys” but the actors weren’t good enough? Who knows…? Still, now I really need to see this fucking film.)

18. Short Film (Animated)–This Way Up

(EDIT: La Maison en Petitis Cubes is the winner. First WRONGanswer of the night. I wonder if there’ll be any more…Oh well, Short Films are impossible to call, especially if you’ve seen none of them.)

19. Short Film (Live Action)–Spielzeugland (Toyland)

(EDIT: This was a hard one to call, but I managed to guess RIGHT…The segment that opened up this segment and highlighted COMEDY movies was pretty great…along with James Franco’s butchering of the pronunciation of this title.)

20. Sound Editing–Wall-E

(EDIT: NOPE! This was a surprise. The Dark Knight won this one…maybe this makes my statements about The Dark Knight‘s place in the Oscars flawed. Hmmm…)

21. Sound Mixing–Wall-E

(EDIT: Slumdog Millionaire???!!! Really?! Fuck! I mean, I knew it would be a sweep, but not for cunting SOUND MIXING…You’d think the sound mixing and editing for an Animated Movie would be much much more work because you have zero frame of reference for what certain things should sound like. Oh well. I can’t say I agree with this choice…but then again, who the fuck am I?)

22. Visual Effects–The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

(EDIT: I was torn here. I wound up getting this one RIGHT, however, there was a systematic approach here. The effects in The Dark Knight and Iron Man were fucking amazing…but, they were comic action movies and didn’t need to have a super-realistic and true-to-life nature to them. Benjamin Button had to keep the audience in a REAL atmosphere. I still haven’t seen it, but I think I’m probably right.)

23. Writing (Adapted Screenplay)–Slumdog Millionaire

(EDIT: Third Announcement and THIRD right answer in a row. I might just sweep this mother…as Slumdog Millionaire is sure to as well.)

24. Writing (Original Screenplay)–Milk

(EDIT: Second Award Announcement of the night and SECONDright answer! Should’ve been In Bruges IMO, but…I’m still smug.)

I don’t think there will be many surprises this year. I’m expecting an essential replay of the Golden Globes. We shall see! Hopefully Ricky Gervais makes another “Oscar Worthy” performance!

(EDIT: The Red Carpet interviews were a fucking train wreck. The creepy Interviewer Personalities made for severly awkward moments and snappy answers to stupid questions worthy of the pages of MAD magazine.)

–alexG